Time-varying risk aversion and unexpected inflation

نویسندگان

  • Michael W. Brandt
  • Kevin Q. Wang
چکیده

We formulate a consumption-based asset pricing model in which aggregate risk aversion is time-varying in response to both news about consumption growth (as in a habit formation model) and news about inflation. We estimate our model and explore its pricing implications for the term structure of interest rates and the cross-section of stock returns. Our empirical results support the hypothesis that aggregate risk aversion varies in response to news about inflation. The induced time-variation in risk aversion does not appear to proxy for inflation uncertainty or economic growth. r 2003 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. JEL classification: G10; G12; E43; E44

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Time-Varying Risk Aversion and Unexpected Inflation∗ Unpublished Technical Appendix

where wt+n = [xt+1, x ′ t+2, . . . , x ′ t+n] ′ for a positive integers n. The conditional expectation is taken with respect to the distribution of the vector ηt+n =[εt+1, ε ′ t+2, . . . , ε ′ t+n] ′, given wt+n is generated by the recursion (A.1). β ∈ B is a vector of parameters. In our application, f is the vector of nominal discount bond prices, g is the vector of corresponding pricing kerne...

متن کامل

Endogenous time-varying risk aversion and asset returns

Stylized facts about statistical properties for short horizon returns in financial markets have been identified in the literature, but a satisfactory understanding for their manifestation is yet to be achieved. In this work, we show that a simple asset pricing model with representative agent is able to generate time series of returns that replicate such stylized facts if the risk aversion coeff...

متن کامل

Common Risk Factors and Risk Premia in Direct and Securitized Real Estate Markets

This study empirically examined the effects of systematic market and common risk factors in explaining the variations in excess returns of securitized and direct real estate using multi-factor asset pricing models (MAP). The homogeneity of risk premia associated with the economic risk factors was also tested to determine whether the two real estate markets were integrated. By constraining the r...

متن کامل

Modeling and Forecasting Iranian Inflation with Time Varying BVAR Models

This paper investigates the forecasting performance of different time-varying BVAR models for Iranian inflation. Forecast accuracy of a BVAR model with Litterman’s prior compared with a time-varying BVAR model (a version introduced by Doan et al., 1984); and a modified time-varying BVAR model, where the autoregressive coefficients are held constant and only the deterministic components are allo...

متن کامل

Cross-Sectional Relative Price Variability and Inflation in Turkey: Time Varying Estimation

Abstract This study investigates the empirical validity of the variability hypothesis in Turkey for the period of February 2005-November 2015, by using cross-sectional relative price data and by focusing on the assumptions of linearity and stability. The linearity assumption between the two variables is ensured by estimating quadratic regression equation. The assumption of stability is secur...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2003